Edmonton Housing Market Update – Week of October 22-28, 2025

Market Updates Paul Zieba 29 Oct

Greater Edmonton Area Real Estate Market Report by Paul Zieba, Mortgage Broker

New listings: 670 (-11% from last week)

Sales: 413 (-17% from last week)

Average price: $455K (+3% from last week)

Median price: $430K (-1% from last week)

The Market Hit Pause – But Prices Held Strong

Last week the Greater Edmonton Area bounced back with sales up 16%. This week? Both activity metrics dropped: sales fell 17% and new listings declined 11%.

However, here’s the story in the price data: average price climbed from $444K to $455K (+$11K) while median price dipped slightly from $434K to $430K (-$4K). As a result, this tells us the market slowed down, but pricing fundamentals remained stable.

Sales Dropped Faster Than Listings

Sales fell 17% while new listings only dropped 11%. Therefore, the decline in activity was more buyer-driven than seller-driven. In fact, with 670 new properties entering the market but only 413 selling, inventory grew relative to sales velocity.

Nevertheless, the gap between these two numbers (6 percentage points) suggests buyers became more selective this week rather than disappearing entirely.

Average Up, Median Flat: What This Means

Average price increased 3% to $455K while median price stayed essentially flat at $430K (down just 1%). Consequently, this divergence indicates higher-priced properties performed better relative to mid-range homes this week.

Furthermore, when average rises while median holds steady, it typically signals activity in the upper price segments of the market remained consistent even as overall transaction volume declined.

What This Means for Buyers

With sales down 17%, competition decreased week-over-week. Additionally, more inventory relative to sales means you have more options and potentially more negotiating room than last week.

However, median price holding at $430K (down only 1%) shows sellers aren’t panicking on pricing. Therefore, this isn’t a market where dramatic discounts are widespread – it’s a market where strategic buyers can be more deliberate.

What This Means for Sellers

New listings dropped 11%, meaning you have less direct competition than last week. Nevertheless, sales dropped even more at 17%, so buyers are being more selective.

As a result, pricing accuracy matters more now. Furthermore, average price climbing 3% suggests well-positioned properties are still achieving strong values – but you need to be realistic about where your property fits in the current market.

The Bigger Picture

This week’s data shows a market in transition. In fact, both buyers and sellers pulled back slightly, creating a more balanced environment than the surge we saw last week.

Nevertheless, price stability remained intact. Consequently, this isn’t a correction – it’s a market finding equilibrium after last week’s 16% sales spike.

Questions About Your Mortgage Options in This Market?

Market conditions change week to week. Therefore, let’s discuss how these numbers impact your specific mortgage situation.

Paul Zieba – Edmonton Mortgage Broker

📞 780-619-4901
📧 pzieba@mortgageconnection.ca

Bank of Canada Cuts Rates to 2.25% – What It Means for Your Mortgage

Market Updates Paul Zieba 29 Oct

Paul Zieba, Mortgage Broker | Edmonton & Alberta
October 29, 2025


The Big News: Bank of Canada Drops Rates to 2.25%

Today, the Bank of Canada cut interest rates by 0.25% (25 basis points). As a result, we’re now sitting at 2.25%.

However, here’s what matters more than the cut itself: Governor Macklem said “the policy rate is at about the right level.”

In other words, they’re likely done cutting for now.


What This Means for Your Buying Power

Here are real numbers you can understand:

Let’s say a buyer qualified for a $500K mortgage two months ago. Today, that same buyer now qualifies for $517,500.

  • Same income
  • Same down payment
  • $17,500 more buying power

In short, that’s the practical impact of today’s rate cut.


Why the Bank of Canada Is Hitting Pause

The Bank isn’t being cautious just because. Instead, here’s what’s actually happening:

  • Economic growth is slowing: They’ve cut their forecasts to 1.2% for 2025 and 1.1% for 2026 (down from 1.8%)
  • The economy is struggling, not thriving
  • US tariffs are creating what they call a “structural transition”
  • At 2.25%, we’re at the bottom of their neutral rate range

Ultimately, this means one thing: Don’t expect big rate drops from here.


What You Should Do Now

If You’re Waiting for Lower Rates

It’s time to recalibrate your expectations.

If you’ve been holding out for rates under 2%, this may be as good as it gets for the foreseeable future. Therefore, the buying power boost we just received might be all we see.

If You’re Ready to Buy

Now is your window.

The rate cut just improved your purchasing power. Unfortunately, waiting for rates to drop further could mean missing out while prices adjust upward or competition increases.

If You’re Refinancing or Renewing

Now’s the time to have the conversation.

With rates at 2.25% and the Bank signaling they’re done cutting, this is a good time to lock in your rate or explore refinancing options.


The Bottom Line

Today’s rate cut puts more money in your pocket – $17,500 more buying power for every $500K you’re borrowing.

But the Bank of Canada just told us they’re done being aggressive. At 2.25%, we’re at the bottom of their target range, and they’re calling it “about right.”

The opportunity: If you’ve been waiting for better rates to make your move, this might be as good as it gets for a while.

Edmonton Housing Market Update – Week of October 15-21, 2025

Market Updates Paul Zieba 22 Oct

Market Updates Paul Zieba 22 Oct

 

New listings: 757 (+10% from last week)

Sales: 498 (+16% from last week)

Average price: $444K (-3% from last week)

Median price: $434K (+3% from last week)

 

The Market Just Bounced Back – But Not for Everyone

Last week I told you the market hit pause. This week? It snapped back to life – but only for certain homes. In fact, new listings jumped 10% and sales surged 16%. However, buyers who were sitting out came back, and they came back aggressive.

Nevertheless, here’s the twist: average price dropped from $456K to $444K (-$12K) while median price jumped from $423K to $434K (+11K). As a result, this creates the clearest signal yet that Edmonton’s housing market has split in two.

The Tale of Two Markets

Homes under $500K are now competitive. Multiple offers. Selling fast. Meanwhile, the median price climbing while inventory increases tells us buyers are fighting over these properties.

On the other hand, homes over $600K are struggling. Price cuts. Sitting longer. In fact, high-end homes are dragging the average price down even as the typical home gets more expensive.

Why This Is Happening

Week 3 of the teacher strike continues to play a major role. Most families dealing with childcare chaos aren’t browsing luxury listings. However, starter homes and mid-range properties? Those buyers never left – and now they have more inventory to choose from.

Additionally, the strike continues to impact higher-income buyers (teachers can’t qualify during strikes), but it’s not stopping the core market anymore.

What This Means for Buyers

Under $500K? You’re competing again. Therefore, last week’s advantage is gone. If you’re serious, move fast.

Over $600K? Consequently, you have negotiating power. Sellers in this range are motivated and inventory is building.

What This Means for Sellers

Under $500K? Price it right from day one and you’ll see action within days. As a result, this isn’t the market to “test high.”

Over $600K? Be realistic. Furthermore, your competition is sitting, waiting, and hoping. Don’t join them.

The Bigger Picture

This bounce-back proves the fundamentals are still strong for regular family homes. However, the luxury market is clearly feeling the pressure of economic uncertainty and the ongoing strike.

Nevertheless, when the strike resolves, expect even more momentum in the under-$500K segment as teachers return to the buyer pool.

Questions About Your Home’s Value in This Split Market?

Different price ranges are living in different realities right now. Therefore, let’s talk about where YOUR home sits and what strategy makes sense.

📞 780-619-4901 📧 pzieba@mortgageconnection.ca

Edmonton Housing Market Update – Week of October 8-14, 2025

Market Updates Paul Zieba 15 Oct

Market Updates Paul Zieba 15 Oct

New listings: 688 (-24% from last week)

Sales: 428 (-15% from last week)

Average price: $456K (-2% from last week)

Median price: $423K (-4% from last week)

The Market Hit Pause – And the Teacher Strike Is Why

This week, the Edmonton market hit pause – and the teacher strike is playing a bigger role than most people realize. In fact, with 50,000 teachers currently on strike, many lenders won’t accept their income for mortgage applications right now. As a result, that’s a massive buyer pool suddenly on the sidelines.

What’s Happening With Inventory

New listings dropped 24% week-over-week. Sellers are holding back – partly seasonal (we’re heading into fall/winter), but also because a significant portion of potential buyers are frozen out of the market during the strike.

Meanwhile, sales dropped 15%. Some deals were already in progress before the strike, but expect this gap to widen if the strike continues.

The Price Story

Both average ($456K) and median ($423K) prices dropped 2-4% in one week. Therefore, sellers who need to move are adjusting prices because their buyer pool just shrunk. Furthermore, the $33K gap between average and median tells us some higher-priced homes are still selling, but the typical home is trading at $423K.

What This Means for Buyers

If you’re a teacher, you’re likely waiting this out until the strike resolves and lenders will work with your income again.

However, if you’re not affected by the strike, you’re competing with fewer buyers right now, and sellers who need to move are pricing accordingly.

What This Means for the Market

This isn’t just seasonal slowdown – it’s disruption-driven. Nevertheless, when the strike resolves and teachers return to classrooms, expect pent-up demand to return to the market.

Questions About Your Buying Power?

Current market conditions create opportunities for those positioned to act. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or looking to upgrade, let’s talk about what makes sense for your situation.

📞 780-619-4901 📧 pzieba@mortgageconnection.ca